Industry Pulse

AI Overviews Traffic Loss: Publishers Are Paying It Back

Forbes and The New York Times spent millions on paid search in July 2026 to buy back what AI Overviews took from them for free

A person at a table reading a newspaper with a cup of coffee in warm morning light
The kind of quiet organic click publishers are now paying to get back.Photo by Anna Keibalo on Unsplash

The short answer

Top 100 media publishers spent $113 million on paid search in July 2026, up 274% over three years, as AI Overviews and AI-generated People Also Ask answers erased organic clicks. Forbes alone spent $72.2 million while its organic traffic fell 26.7% year over year. If SEO drives real business for you, ranking alone is no longer enough; budget for paid search as backup on your highest-intent pages.

Forbes spent $72.2 million on paid search in July 2026. The New York Times spent $11.3 million. Across the top 100 media publishers tracked, that's $113 million in one month, up 274% over three years.

AI Overviews traffic loss is why. Publishers are now paying for the clicks their own SEO used to earn for free. That should worry anyone whose marketing plan still ends at "rank on page one."

What's Behind the AI Overviews Traffic Loss#

Adweek reported on 9 September the organic side of this trade, publisher by publisher:

  • Forbes organic search traffic: down 26.7% year over year
  • CNN organic search traffic: down 28.9% year over year
  • USA Today organic search traffic: down 24.1% year over year
  • Forbes paid search spend: up 8x over three years

Similarweb's David Carr told the outlet the pay-per-click surge started "basically since April." Separately, research cited by PPC Land puts AI-generated answers at 97-100% of Google's People Also Ask box as of early September, drawn from a 19.2-million-query dataset.

The blue links are still there. Almost nobody scrolls to them.

Does This Change Anything If You're Not a Media Publisher?#

If organic search sends you a few hundred visits a month, not much changes today — keep writing, keep optimizing, move on. If content or SEO actually drives pipeline for you — leads, bookings, demo requests — this changes what a page-one ranking is worth, because the businesses that wrote the book on organic distribution just admitted it isn't enough on its own.

At WebEpex we pulled this into every SEO client conversation this week, because most of our clients — D2C brands and SaaS founders across GCC, Europe, USA, Canada, and Indian SMBs — are a smaller version of the exact problem Forbes just spent eight figures fixing.

Here's the split we'd draw. A page ranking for a broad, informational term was already worth less than it used to be; that traffic was thin on intent anyway. A page ranking for something a buyer types right before they're ready to pay is worth defending hard, with paid search as backup rather than the whole plan.

The Honest Trade-offs#

Buying back search traffic works. It's also survivorship bait.

It works because these publishers already have the audience data, ad inventory, and cash flow to make PPC math pencil out at scale. Most small businesses don't have Forbes' margins to burn on defensive ad spend.

It's also not free of risk. Paid traffic that used to be organic is now a cost center with no floor, and nobody in either article says when that spend levels off.

My read: this is a symptom of a bigger shift, not a fix. AI answer engines are the new front door, and buying Google traffic doesn't get you cited inside Gemini or ChatGPT's answer.

How We're Handling It#

We've already rebuilt client content briefs this month to score every target keyword on two axes, not one: can it still rank, and does it survive being summarized without a click. Terms that fail the second test get folded into a paid search test or reworked toward the structured, citable format we laid out in our answer engine optimization piece.

We also pulled AI-referral and PAA-visibility tracking into the same dashboards we already use for Search Console's new AI reporting, so a client sees organic rank, AI citation, and paid spend on one screen instead of three.

Took us longer than it should have to admit that raw rank position wasn't the number that mattered anymore, especially with rank trackers already getting noisier this month. We were still leading client reports with it into August.

What I'd Tell a Client This Week#

Pull your last 90 days of organic sessions by landing page. Check which pages actually convert, not which ones rank.

If a converting page's traffic dropped double digits, test a small paid search budget against that exact query before you touch the content. If it's an informational page with no commercial intent, I wouldn't spend a rupee or a dirham defending its ranking — let it go.

Doing nothing this week is a fine answer too, if none of this moved for you.

If you want a straight read on whether this actually touches your traffic, send me your Search Console export and I'll tell you in a couple of minutes, no pitch attached. cal.com/webepex/growth-review

Sources

  1. Publishers Are Spending Hundreds of Millions a Month Buying Traffic
  2. Publishers spent $113m in one month buying back their search traffic

Frequently asked questions

Straight answers to what people ask about AI Overviews traffic loss.

Does AI Overviews traffic loss affect small businesses, not just big publishers?
Only if organic search already drives meaningful leads or sales for you. If your site gets a few hundred visits a month from Google, this shift changes little right now. If SEO is a real pipeline source, it means a page-one ranking alone is no longer enough — pair your highest-intent pages with a paid search backup.
Should I start buying paid search ads because of this?
Not across the board. Reserve paid search for pages where a buyer is close to purchasing and where you've already seen organic traffic drop. Informational pages with no commercial intent usually aren't worth defending with ad spend.
What's causing publishers' organic traffic to drop so sharply?
AI Overviews and AI-generated answers in Google's People Also Ask box are answering search queries directly on the results page, so far fewer users click through to the original source, even when that source still ranks well.
How do I know if this is actually hurting my traffic?
Pull the last 90 days of organic sessions by landing page in Search Console or analytics, and check which pages both rank well and have lost traffic. If a converting page shows a double-digit decline, that's the one worth testing paid search against.
Prakhar Vohra
Written by

Prakhar Vohra

Founder & Growth Lead

Founder & CEO - WebEpex & DevAegis, Co-Founder - Tattva Aura Events, I work 1:1 with founders & to build profitable & scalable revenue models

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